Monday, November 23, 2009

One in 7 U.S. mortgages foreclosing or delinquent | Reuters

  • Nationwide Foreclosures are at their highest rate EVER, and this isn't expected to peak until the middle of next year. The bulk of new homes in default is of conservative conventional loans, and is primarily a result of the high rates of unemployment.

    tags: foreclosures, mortgage, delinquincies

    • A record one in seven U.S. mortgages were in foreclosure or at least one payment past due in the third quarter
    • U.S. mortgage delinquency rates and the percentage of loans that entered the foreclosure process also jumped to records from July to September, the Mortgage Bankers Association said on Thursday.
    • Rising job losses were behind the increasingly bleak portrait of the housing market in a trend that will continue into next year, the group said in data that adds to recent evidence of a still-struggling housing market.
    • record foreclosures will add to the growing supply of unsold homes, sapping the housing market as it attempts to recover from the worst slump since the Great Depression.
    • The MBA said the percentage of loans in foreclosure rose to 1.42 percent
    • "Foreclosures remain the biggest hurdle to the housing recovery," said Michelle Meyer, economist at Barclays Capital in New York.
    • "Foreclosures will be worse in the first part of 2010 and we do not see a peak in foreclosures until the middle of next year."
    • conservative, prime fixed-rate loans often sold to homebuyers with the highest credit ratings continued to represent the largest share of foreclosures started and were the biggest driver of the increase in foreclosures
    • In fact, 33 percent of foreclosures started in the third quarter were on prime fixed-rate loans and those loans were 44 percent of the quarterly increase in foreclosures, Brinkmann said.

Gloomy outlook, just when the housing market and recession appeared to have peaked for the worst...

Monday, October 19, 2009

The Associated Press: MBA: Foreclosures, unemployment to peak next year

  • Foreclosures will likely continue to rise up through next year as unemployment continues.

    tags: foreclosures

    • Foreclosures will peak by the end of next year and unemployment will climb above 10 percent as the housing market and U.S. economy grapple with the aftermath of the recession, the Mortgage Bankers Association's chief economist said Tuesday.
    • fixed mortgage interest rates remaining below 6 percent.
    • Many lenders have issued a moratorium on foreclosures, causing a drop in the number of discounted, bank-owned properties hitting the market this year. But some economists expect that a wave of foreclosed properties could hit the market in 2010, dampening home prices again.
    • rising unemployment will lead to a growing number of foreclosures at least through the end of next year, Brinkmann said.
    • "We're forecasting about another 10 percent, roughly, price decline between now and the first quarter next year," he said.

      Mortgage rates, meanwhile, will average about 5 percent through the end of this year, then rise to 5.6 percent by the end of 2010. That should help fuel a 12 percent increase in home mortgages next year, but home refinancing will decline as mortgage rates edge higher, he said.

      "We're assuming, in a sense, weak or little inflation here," Brinkmann said.


Posted from Diigo. The rest of my favorite links are here.

Thursday, October 15, 2009

Foreclosures rise 5 percent from summer to fall

  • Unemployment is the main reason US foreclosures continue to rise. The recession might technically be over, but it really won't be over until people can be confident they will have enough money to survive.

    tags: foreclosures

    • The number of households caught up in the foreclosure crisis rose more than 5 percent from summer to fall
    • The foreclosure crisis affected nearly 938,000 properties in the July-September quarter
    • Unemployment is the main reason homeowners are falling into trouble. While the economy is likely out of recession, the unemployment rate — now at a 26-year high of 9.8 percent — isn't expected to peak until the middle of next year.

Friday, September 18, 2009

No relief from foreclosure heat in August

  • Bank Repossessions were down, but defaults keep increasing. With foreclosures doing what they're doing it will still be a long time before the housing recovery happens.

    tags: foreclosures, reos

    • month-over-month and year-over-year decrease in bank repossessions (REOs)
    • total foreclosure activity in August remained close to the record high set in July
    • increasing defaults and scheduled foreclosure auctions
    • 358,471 U.S. properties received foreclosure filings
    • an increase of nearly 18 percent from August 2008.
    • The August report demonstrates that there is still an ample supply of properties filling the foreclosure pipeline even
    • we also saw a record high number of properties either entering default or being scheduled for a public foreclosure auction
    • Nevada, Florida and California posted the three highest state foreclosure rates in August. These three states, along with Michigan, Arizona and Illinois, accounted for more than 60 percent of the nation's total foreclosure activity

Posted from Diigo. The rest of my favorite links are here.

Signs of Foreclosure Prevention Scam

  • If foreclosure prevention companies ask for money upfront, guarantee success, and ask you to send money too them, they are a foreclosure prevention scam.

    tags: foreclosures, prevention

      • Here are some red flags that should make a home owner run in the opposite direction:
        • If the company guarantees success. Nobody can guarantee a lender won’t foreclose or will modify a loan.
        • If the company wants money upfront. "We can't say all advance fees are illegal," Kirtz says, “But in most cases they're probably bogus."
        • If the company wants the home owner to send mortgage checks directly to the modification firm. The only certainty there is that the company will cash the checks.

Posted from Diigo. The rest of my favorite links are here.

Tuesday, August 25, 2009

Nationwide Foreclosures Leveling Out

  • The good news is that the number of subprime mortgage loan foreclosures are declining, the bad news is that 30 year fixed loans rate of default is rising. MBA Cheif Economist Jay Brinkman doesn't think this will change until employment goes up.

    tags: foreclosures, defaults, foreclosure

    • A record 13.16 percent of mortgage loans on one- to four-unit homes were delinquent or in the foreclosure process at the end of June

    • In Florida, 22.8 percent of mortgages were at least one payment behind
    • The rate of new foreclosure starts was essentially unchanged from March
    • drop in foreclosures on subprime adjustable-rate mortgage (ARM) loans
    • increases on other types of loans, including prime fixed-rate loans
    • MBA Chief Economist Jay Brinkmann said loan modification programs are holding foreclosure rates below where they would otherwise be
    • "It is unlikely we will see meaningful reductions in the foreclosure and delinquency rates until the employment situation improves,"

Posted from Diigo. The rest of my favorite links are here.

Friday, August 21, 2009

NAR: Sales rise for 4th straight month - Prices down 15%

  • National Home Sales were up for the fourth straight month, but compared with a year ago, prices of homes sold were down 15%. Signs that the housing market is recovering.

    tags: home sales, median, prices

    • Sales of previously owned homes rose for the fourth straight month in July -- a streak that hasn't occurred since June 2004

    • The median resale home price dropped 15.1 percent in July compared to the same month last year
    • distressed homes "continue to weigh down the median price. Another reason this price continues to drop is because a larger percentage of buyers are first time home buyers, and they purchase the more affordable homes.
    • price-to-income ratios have fallen below historical trends, there are more all-cash offers.
    • some recovering markets like San Diego, Las Vegas, Phoenix, and Orlando, the demand for foreclosed and lower-priced homes has spiked, and a lack of inventory is becoming a common complaint
    • First-time Home Buyer Tax Credit is also helping to boost sales

Posted from Diigo. The rest of my favorite links are here.